pltesim: Simulate Probabilistic Long-Term Effects in Models with Temporal Dependence

Calculates and depicts probabilistic long-term effects in binary models with temporal dependence variables. The package performs two tasks. First, it calculates the change in the probability of the event occurring given a change in a theoretical variable. Second, it calculates the rolling difference in the future probability of the event for two scenarios: one where the event occurred at a given time and one where the event does not occur. The package is consistent with the recent movement to depict meaningful and easy-to-interpret quantities of interest with the requisite measures of uncertainty. It is the first to make it easy for researchers to interpret short- and long-term effects of explanatory variables in binary autoregressive models, which can have important implications for the correct interpretation of these models.

Version: 1.0
Imports: coreSim, ggplot2
Suggests: testthat, covr
Published: 2017-06-26
DOI: 10.32614/CRAN.package.pltesim
Author: Christopher Gandrud [aut, cre], Laron K. Williams [aut]
Maintainer: Christopher Gandrud <christopher.gandrud at>
License: GPL (≥ 3)
NeedsCompilation: no
Materials: README NEWS
CRAN checks: pltesim results


Reference manual: pltesim.pdf


Package source: pltesim_1.0.tar.gz
Windows binaries: r-devel:, r-release:, r-oldrel:
macOS binaries: r-release (arm64): pltesim_1.0.tgz, r-oldrel (arm64): pltesim_1.0.tgz, r-release (x86_64): pltesim_1.0.tgz, r-oldrel (x86_64): pltesim_1.0.tgz
Old sources: pltesim archive


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